That's dependent on who's running. If it's Obama expect 60%+ of gay and lesbian voters to stay home. You can also count out those millions of dollars that wealthy gay and lesbians give to the DNC. There's been some growing discontent within the community made worse recently by comments made by Donna Brazile and several Congressional Black Caucus members. The cats out of the bag regarding the lack of support on behalf of the DNC in defeating ballot measures. There is also the troubling problem of Howard Dean recently firing two of the gay and lesbian outreach liaisons because they could not control the gay press. Which has been none to complimentary towards the DNC lately and with good reason. There should be no place for this in the DNC but alas here is where we are.
Really - got any poll data for that, or are you just making stuff up?
Wow, are you serious? My experience with gay and lesbian voters isn't vast, but around here (Seattle) I've seen a huge amount of enthusiasm for Obama, and no intention whatsoever of sitting out the election. Maybe I'm just talking to the wrong people!
One of the interesting things I've found about this site is that what people are reporting voters think and feel is so often so diametrically opposed to what I see in my daily life, where I know both Obama and Hillary supporters well, and live in a city but have deep and continuing ties in rural areas. I suppose it could be that as a pretty blue state, people aren't quite so rabid about their positions here, but it does strike me as strange how different life seems to be in other communities. I've never once, for example, met a single Democrat on either side threatening to vote for McCain - it would never cross most regular people's minds to vote against their own interests in that way after we've all suffered under 8 years of Bush.